4.40 Southwell, Tuesday, February 6

The Betway Live Casino Handicap (4.40) at Southwell on Tuesday is a distinctly ordinary contest, as might be expected for the lowly grade, and probably best left to Star Ascending, who’s won two of his last four starts at Southwell. Despite a 4lb rise in the weights for his most recent success, over 1 mile 3 furlongs, last month, Jennie Candlish’s 6-year-old is only 1lb higher than when winning at Wolverhampton two years ago, and 2lb lower than when beaten a head at Southwell later that same season. Four of his opponents are out of the handicap proper and all six of them are fully exposed as moderate, at best, so anything better than even money about Star Ascending looks good value. His jockey, Joe Fanning has also been in good nick, with a 6-19 (32%) strike rate in the last fortnight, so he should not be beaten for lack of confidence in the saddle.

Selection: Southwell 4.40 Star Ascending to win – Even Money

 

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