Flat Racing Tips
Sign up for the free racing tips list, by getting your email address, and/or mobile number (for tip text messages) to us. We’ve joined forces with HCERacing Tips to bring you free horse racing tips during the 2010 flat season. Note: The tips by mobile part of the offer, is only available to those in the UK. Send your details to highclassequine@gmail.com if you wish to take advantage of the offer. Limited places available so hurry. Those joining will receive free tips for the remainder of the flat season.
Ones to watch
Ones to watch:
Andrew Balding
ROBIN HOOD U S A (USA)
A chestnut colt by Mr Greeley out of the mare Fashion Cat is worth noting. This juvenile born in February cost over £130,000, an expensive purchase for E. N. Kronfeld who has houses a few juveniles with Balding over the last few seasons. Balding has done well with his two-year-olds in recent years and they are always worth noting on their second start, as juveniles often improve with racing and placed to win after their racecourse bow. This is one of more expensive youngsters in the stable and connections will be hoping this American-bred has ability.
Michael Bell
MOHEDIAN LADY (IRE)
A trainer always high on our list for his juveniles talents, this bay filly by Hurricane Run cost an impressive £240,000. Just having her second birthday in April, this Irish-bred bay filly by the Group-placed mare Amathia is owned by Mrs Olivia Hoare. Breeding suggests that this juvenile will be seen later in the season with sire and mare seen at their best over a distance. Bell has a string of some 50 two-year-olds this season and such a capable trainer will no doubt be looking forward to this individual starting her career.
Henry Cecil
LATE TELEGRAPH (IRE)
A February colt by Montjeu by the mare Bywayofthestars with a price tag of £320,000. Owned by Thomas Barr, a familiar name in racing with horses in many stables including Michael Jarvis, Henry Candy, John Gosden & Mark Johnston to name a few. This is an interesting newcomer. Cecil’s fortunes have changed for the better in recent years and he always nurtures his two-year-olds. This youngster could well be in the limelight this year.
Mick Channon
STELLA POINT (IRE)
With a huge string of 80-plus two-year-olds it is little wonder Channon has the potential to unearth a talented juvenile. Jon & Julia Aisbitt have had a number of horses trained at West Ilsley and this March foal is one of the more expensive juveniles at just under £140,000. If she takes after her mare, Venturi, a Group 3 winner, this will be money well spent.
Paul Cole
END OR BEGINNING
Few owners have the money to purchase juveniles like Mrs Fitri Hay. In the last few seasons she has made a new allegiance with Cole (and Tom Tate) and it is only a matter of time before a talented two-year-old comes to light. With a least 5 juveniles costing over £100,000 alone at Whatcombe Estate, the above-mentioned bay colt at £330,000 makes much appeal. This juvenile may have been born on April fools day but connections will be hoping this youngster’s ability is for real. By Sadlers Wells out of the talented mare Smart ‘n Noble, this America-bred could well feature in this year’s dream team for Mrs Hay. Other two-year-olds with Cole include: Already Basking, Argocat, Diamond Penny, Flodden, Ready Solace, Strategic Bid & Tinkertown.
Tom Dascombe
MILLENNIUM STAR (IRE)
Dascombe has become one of the most recognised trainers of two-year-olds over the last few seasons and his move to Manor House Stables has seen a further increase to his string to about 60 juveniles. This bay filly is worth noting as one of the expensive youngsters at £210,000. Her mare, Diamonaka, was twice placed in Group class when trained by F. Boutin in France. Owner Andrew Tinkler has invested much in his two-year-old old string this season, especially with Michael Dods. Dascombe can often have his juveniles primed to run a big race on debut, however, Millennium Star is most likely to be seen later in the season.
Sir Michael Stoute
HAYMANA (IRE)
A trainer who needs little introduction – Freemason Lodge is the home of many a talented juvenile and this year will be no exception. Hamdan Al Maktoum purchased this bay filly for £650,000. A February filly by Pivotal out of an Irish mare Briolette, Stoute will be looking forward to this juvenile. A dab hand training fillies, Haymana will certainly need to be something special to begin to pay back this hefty price tag. With over 60 juveniles stabled at Freemason Lodge, and the majority costing six-figure sums, it is no surprise why this talented trainer captures the imagination and consistently attains the level of success most can only dream.
Tips
Thanks to all of those taking advantage of the horse racing tips offer. In answer to emails received, there are still someplaces available. So if you want to get involved in the flat racing season from a selective betting / tips perspective, this is a good opportunity to do so. Thanks.
HCE Tips Service
The HCE Tips service provides around 60 specialised two year old tips over the flat racing season. Tony and Jason Coote have been published in various horse racing publications (sporting life, racng ahead etc) and are offering a limted number of placements on their tips list for the 2010 flat racing season. It should be a productive season.
To sign up please send payment via the paypal link below.
You can check out their daily blog at HCE Racing Tips (http://blog.highclassequine.com) and email them there too if you have more questions. Offer only open to those withn the UK. Signing up via the offer here saves you £75 (£150 instead of £225 for the full flat season tips service) and will only be available until the end of May. Taking advantage of this opportunity now ensures that you make the most of the tips from beginning to the end of the 2010 flat racing season.
Ed McMahon
Horsely Brook Farm, Lichfield, is the headquarters of the talented Ed McMahon stables. Very much from the same mould of his father, few trainers have a more professional approach or eye for detail.
McMahan is an adept trainer of two-year-olds – with approximately 15 colts & fillies each season. His youngsters make an early start to their racing careers running from April and keeping busy until October. In the last five seasons he has total prize winnings in the region of £350,000. Many of his best juveniles are seen early season and capable sorts. Statistics reveal a general win rate of 18% and win and place of 50%. In recent years, debutants have featured slightly lower percentages but still illustrating that runners are capable of winning on their racecourse bow, often at fancy odds. McMahon is particularly good at placing horses on their second start, making the most of their experience and primed for a determined effort. Many of these candidates are well-backed individuals, especially when owned by John Fretwell. He has also done very well for owner R L Bedding with talents such as Noble Storm & Rainbow Mirage. In addition, juveniles in their own colours have the knack of winning.
McMahon is a very interesting trainer for punters as many of his juveniles feature a winning level of ability. With many runners being allegeable for auction events, often cherry picked with these capable types before racing at a higher level. Although horses struggle to win beyond Stakes class, Chin Wag & In Uniform contested Group events in recent years, while others raced at Listed level – Vauquelin & Aalsmeer both just failing to land the spoils with narrow losses.
Ed McMahon is a very consistent trainer and it is easy to see why money often follows his better two-year-olds. However, it is intriguing that a number of horses still win at speculative odds and he is worth a punt at any price when juveniles are competing at a lower level. On reviewing The Horses in Training 2010 publication, this year’s string of juveniles seems somewhat depleted, which would be a shame for such a polished trainer. However, there is little doubt that McMahon will have his share of winners this new Flat campaign and a certainly a trainer to follow.
Free Racing Tips
EDIT: Offer ended. Thanks to all those who signed up!
Mick Channon
Training from West Ilsley Stables, Berkshire, Mick Channon manages a vast string of horses, almost 200 at one stage, and a significant number of two-year-olds, which he has found much success with talents such as Tobougg, Queens Logic, Mail The Dessert, and Silca’s Sister amongst others.
Channon always makes a flying start to the season, often featuring entrants for the Brocklesby Stakes at Doncaster’s first Flat meeting of the new turf season, winding down in October, seldom having juveniles racing in November. On average, 80 juveniles will race in any one season.
In the last five seasons he has total prize winnings of over £1.3 million pounds for two-year-olds alone. With a strike race of 13% for all runners and 36% win and place he featured average statistics. From reviewing this data, we reveal a number of interesting points. Over the last few seasons his win rate for two-year-olds when making their debuts has been rather poor at around 7%, which suggests that many of his runners may improve for this initial experience, conflicting with the public view that his runners are primed to win. What is even more startling is that very few winners are returned at odds bigger than 8/1, generally they are priced 11/2 & less. As is generally the case, second start statistics illustrate much better with win and place averages, however, juveniles are most likely to be shorter odds than ideal such is the respect of this handler of his juveniles. Gambles are certainly worth noting and juveniles dropped into Claiming or Selling-class races often run well. A trainer who can often do well with bargain buys he trains for big and small owners alike. Jaber Abdullah has been a very lucky owner for Channon and his juveniles are always worthy of note.
With such a vast string of juveniles it is very much a numbers game for Channon who predominantly has a limited standard of juveniles with a fair number who can win at some level. However, within this mix are a select number of truly gifted two-year-old colts and fillies that have proven to be star quality attempting to give Channon that elusive first Classic race win. 2010 will no doubt be a very busy season for West Ilsley and there will be winners a plenty for this talented trainer.
Horse Racing Tips
HCE tips are provided by Tony and Jason Coote, who have a history of success in their niche of betting solely on two year olds running over the flat season. They have been published in both the Sporting Life and Racing Ahead magazine (here) and offer a unique outlook to betting.
Jeremy Noseda
One of Newmarket’s most dominant trainers, Jeremy Noseda has attained Classic race stardom with Araafa and a host of notable Group race success including the likes of Belmont, Carry On Katie, Just James, Kalypso Katie, Mellow Park, Proclamation, Sixties Icon, Soldiers Tale, Wannabe Grand and Wilko. Few trainers have such a wealth of influential owners or the capability of winning at the highest level throughout the world.
Noseda is a talented trainer of two-year-olds. In recent years he has averaged 30 juvenile runners racing from May onwards, often featuring entrants at Royal Ascot. With an average win rate of 20% for all runners and 50% win and place he has achieved significant statistics. In recent years his juveniles have attained a 15% win rate on debut. It should be noted that approximately half of all juveniles have been priced 13/2 & less on debut which somewhat tempers enthusiasm. With improved fitness, experience and good placing of youngsters’ significantly higher statistics have been noted on their second starts. Once again, runners are likely to be short prices. However, juveniles at bigger odds have featured quite good place averages. In general, Jeremy Noseda trains a high standard of horse, often multiple-Pattern entered juveniles, and as history has proven, they are capable of winning at Group level. With a select list of owners, such as Sir Robert Ogden, M Tabor, Saeed Suhail, Cheveley Park Stud, M Green & Highclere Thoroughbred Racing, it is easy to see why his two-year-olds demand much respect.
Noseda will be looking to make 2010 another prosperous season.
Luca Cumani
Few trainers have attained the successes of Luca Cumani, the master of talents within his famous Bedford House stables – a place of folklore within Newmarket’s history of racing. Here the likes of Kahyasi, Barathea, High Rise, One So Wonderful, Gassamer, Falbrav, Starcraft and Alkaased have galloped towards astounding achievements that need little introduction.
But what are we to make of Cumani’s juveniles in recent years?
In many ways his general standard of two-year-old has been poor compared with such lofty highs of past. However, this twilight was lifted in spectacular fashion with the dawn of a the well-named Fantasia, winner of the Group 3 Prestige Stakes at Goodwood and gallant second in the Group 1 Fillies’ Mile at Ascot to the impressive Rainbow View. The 1000 Guineas will be one of her ultimate tests to join her peers.
Cumani’s juvenile statistics make very interesting reading, revealing a surprise or two. Perhaps most unsurprising is the fact that his juveniles seldom win on debut. In the last few years he has attained about a 6% win rate on debut and all of these winners were prices 8/1 & less. Clearly the likes of Fantasia, winning at 7/1, are known to have ability but inexperience makes winning a difficult goal to achieve on their racecourse bow.
The surprising point about Cumani is that juveniles on their second start have struggled to win when priced 13/2 & less in recent years. In fact his win performance with these candidates has been nothing short of horrendous. However, in contrast he has maintained a high place average, which probably suggests that many of his two-year-olds have not attained the highest of standards and fail to get their nose in front when placed to do so. It is interesting that a number of winners have been priced 8/1+. From experience, I have noted a number of talented juveniles running at Great Yarmouth.
It will be interesting to see what this year’s crop of two-year-olds may bring. Cumani will be hoping that Fantasia can live the dream attaining Classic race success. In contrast, he will be a very lucky man to find the likes of her within this year’s string. But few would be so foolish to say that Cumani will not have an ace, if not a whole pack of cards up his sleeve. As past successes prove anything is possible with this gifted trainer.
