UK Horse Racing Tips

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In the 3.55 at Newbury on Friday, Dainty Diva has twice been placed in Group 3 company at Ascot and sets a decent standard, but Mrs Danvers beat 22 rivals in convincing style when winning the valuable Weatherbys Super Sprint over course and distance last month and could easily be Pattern class. Trainer Jonathan Portman has expressed surprise that the Hellvelyn filly, who went through the sales ring for just 1,000 guineas, has been allotted an official rating of 89, 9lb inferior to Dainty Diva, and she looks well worth a crack at some black type.

The form of the Weatherbys Super Sprint has yet to be fully tested, but the fifth, Spiritual Lady, won next time, as did the eighth, Simmie, and the thirteenth, Perfect Madge, so it’s probably safe to assume that it’s fairly reliable. Richard Kingscote, who has a 6-28 (21%) strike rate on juveniles for yard over the last five seasons, for a healthy level stakes profit of 62.50 points, takes over in the saddle, which can hardly be a bad thing.

Selection: Newbury 3.55 Mrs Danvers to win

In the 7.55 at Sandown on Thursday, North Yorkshire trainer Ruth Carr hasn’t had a runner at the Esher track during the last five seasons, so the fact that Chaplins Bay makes the 238-mile trek down the M1 may be a tip in itself. The Fastnet Rock gelding was beaten favourite in a 0-75 event at Musselburgh six days ago, but makes a quick reappearance and is reunited with regular partner James Sullivan, so may be able to regain the winning thread, even in this slightly higher grade.

His last win – in fact, his only win – came in a 0-65 contest, over 6 furlongs, at Hamilton in May off a handicap mark of 63, but he won convincingly, by 4½ lengths, on that occasion and has continued to run creditably in defeat off revised marks on all seven starts since. His form doesn’t suggest that he’s crying out for the stiffer test of stamina that he faces here, but he was tried over a mile, and further, in the early part of his career with David Wachman, so he should be OK.

Selection: Sandown 7.55 Chaplins Bay to win

Richard Hannon makes life difficult for punters by saddling two in the Rose Bowl Stakes (3.40) at Newbury on Friday, but Legendary Lunch looks the pick of the pair after finishing sixth of 11, beaten 4 lengths, behind Prince Lir in the Norfolk Stakes at Royal Ascot last month. The Dragon Pulse colt carries a 3lb penalty for winning the Woodcote Stakes, over 6 furlongs, at Epsom by a nose, but the Ascot form has worked out well and the way he finished that day suggested a step back up in distance would be in his favour.

He’s yet to tackle ground faster than good so, with the going at Newbury currently good to firm and fine, dry weather forecast for South East England between now and Friday afternoon, his ability to act on a sound surface must be taken on trust. It’s also notable that regular partner Pat Dobbs deserts him in favour of Richard Hannon’s other entry Sterling Silva, who has winning form on good to firm going, albeit at a much lower level. Under the circumstances, a saver on Sterling Silva or, if the odds allow, dutching the Hannon pair, may be in order.

Selection: Newbury 3.40 Legendary Lunch to win

The 3.45 at Newmarket on Thursday is undeniably competitive but, even so, it’s difficult to get away from the chance of Rae Guest’s filly, Show Stealer, who made a successful return to action over 6 furlongs on the Rowley Mile Course at Newmarket in May. The daughter of Showcasing has been raised 7lb for that success, but the form has worked out well and, with the benefit of that run, she should be competitive once again. She reportedly doesn’t take much getting ready, so an absence of 54 days is no great worry and she looks excellent value at around the 9/1 mark in the early price lists to win again. Any rain would be against her, but dry weather is forecast for the East of England between now and Thursday afternoon so, hopefully, she should be in her element.

Selection: Newmarket 3.45 Show Stealer (9/1 with Ladbrokes and Coral) to win