Casino Strategies Analysed

We all think we know how to beat the system but is there a way of making regular profits at online casinos? There are certainly no guarantees but many believe they have the methods to ensure that they win more often than they lose.

Here are two popular strategies that are worth looking at in greater detail.

The Hawks Method

The Hawks System is deployed at the roulette tables and takes on the concept of mathematical probability. The theory is that you place a bet which is close to 50 / 50 – e.g. Red or Black and if it wins you collect but if you were to lose, then you simply double your stake until the right colour drops in, thereby collecting a profit as soon as your bet lands.

It’s the type of strategy that could see you removed from a land based casino but there is some basis behind the concept when you’re playing online, away from the CCTV monitors.

However, there are two issues: firstly, this isn’t an exact 50 / 50 punt and you always have the possibility of the ball landing in the zero pocket. Make sure, therefore, that you don’t try this out on the American Roulette version where there is an extra pocket marked 00!

The second, and perhaps more serious problem is the maximum stake. Let’s say that the game you’re playing has a maximum stake of £300.00, or currency equivalent, and your opening bet is £1.00. If you lose ten bets in a row then you have put down an awful lot of money for no return. For a colour to land ten times consecutively might sound unlikely but try it and it may not be as rare a phenomenon as you might think.

If you want to trial this then one thing you can do is compare various casinos to see who has the higher limits on European Roulette.

Card Counting

The theory behind counting can be applied to many card games but perhaps it is most widely associated with Blackjack. Before setting out on any quest to make money from the online casinos, it should be understood that this is highly complicated and anyone tackling the system should have an acute mathematical and analytical mind.

Many who qualify on that basis will still struggle when the game starts, the cards are dealt and the pressure is truly on.

To understand it in the most basic of terms, players will allocate a number to each card in the pack, noting that tens and picture cards, plus the Aces, are more beneficial to the player rather than the dealer. It requires feats of memory too as you glance around the table to see who has what in their hand and the less Aces and cards valuing ten that there are, the more chance you have of beating the bank.

Card counting is another method to encounter disapproval at physical casinos even though it is harder to prove than the Hawks Method. Online however, you can avoid the live dealers and use a pen and paper if you wish, to tick off the cards that are already out.

As we mentioned at the start of this article, there is no such thing as a sure fire win so by all means consider these and other strategies on the understanding that a profit is not guaranteed.

Royal Hunt Cup, Ascot, Wednesday, June 15

In the Royal Hunt Cup (5.00) at Ascot on Wednesday, Gm Hopkins is 9lb higher in the weights than when winning the race last year, from stall 11, but is only 3lb higher than when not beaten far, after an interrupted passage, in the valuable Balmoral Handicap over course and distance last October and could make another bold bid. The Dubawi gelding is 2-3 over course and distance, including on the prevailing good to soft going and, having won on soft going earlier in his career, shouldn’t be unduly inconvenienced if the forecast heavy showers do arrive in Berkshire between now and Wednesday afternoon.

Over the straight mile at Ascot, big fields typically split into two or three groups, with a slight bias towards those drawn low, but the first six home in this race last year were drawn 11, 19, 10, 21, 14 and 20, so Gm Hopkins is far from impossibly drawn in stall 18 this time around. At around the 20/1 mark in the ante post lists, John Gosden’s charge should give us a good run for our money.

Selection: Ascot 5.00 Gm Hopkins (20/1) to win

 

5.45 Salisbury, Tuesday, June 7

In the 5.45 at Salisbury on Tuesday, Duke Of North has struck up a good relationship with Rhiain Ingram, winning a similar race over 7 furlongs on the course, off a 5lb lower mark, three starts ago and running creditably in defeat over 7½ furlongs and a mile on turf and Polytrack off revised marks. He won over 6 furlongs as recently as last October, so dropping back in distance shouldn’t hinder his chance unnecessarily and he can resume winning ways. He’s spoilt his chance a few times over 6 furlongs by starting very slowly, but that irksome predisposition appears to be a thing of the past and, if so, the steady uphill climb throughout the last half-mile at Salisbury should be to his liking, as it’s been before. Rhiain Ingram has a 2-6 (33%) strike rate at Salisbury, for a level stakes profit of 16.50 points and must have a decent chance of improving that record.

Selection: Salisbury 5.45 Duke Of North to win

4.00 Nottingham, Wednesday, June 1

In the EBF Stallions Toteexacta Nottinghamshire Oaks Stakes (4.00) at Nottingham on Wednesday, Intimation is one of the lowest rated fillies in the race, according to the BHA, but remains open to any amount of improvement after just four starts and looks worthy of support. The Dubawi filly was a beaten favourite in the Suffolk Stakes over 1 mile 1 furlong at Newmarket on her seasonal reappearance in April, keeping on to finish seventh of 14, beaten 3 lengths, behind Knight Owl, but that form has already been franked by the third, Revolutionist, who won the Zetland Gold Cup at Redcar on Monday.

She’s entitled to improve for that run, her first since last July, and the step back up to 1 mile 2 furlongs is almost certainly in her favour so, while she officially has 10lb to find with Persona Grata, for example, she may well be up to this stiffer task. She’s yet to race on going faster than good but, although the going at Nottingham is currently good to firm, race is forecast for Tuesday and Wednesday, so underfoot conditions could be ideal.

Ryan Moore has an outstanding 6-13 (46%) strike rate on older horses for Sir Michael Stoute so far this season, so everything looks in place for a big run.

Selection: Nottingham 4.00 Intimation to win

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