3.00 Pontefract, Tuesday, July 10

In the Weatherbys General Stud Book Pipalong Stakes at Pontefract on Tuesday, Promising Run hasn’t won in Britain since taking the Shadwell Rockfel Stakes at Newmarket as a two-year-old, but has three further Group Two successes at Meydan, including two earlier this year, to her name. Saeed bin Suroor’s 5-year-old has yet to win on ground faster than good, which is a slight worry granted the current heat wave, but takes a significant drop in class and may be able to defy her Group Two penalty in this lesser race.

The Hard Spun mare could only keep on at one pace in the closing stages when sixth of 11, beaten 7¼ lengths, behind Aljazzi in the Duke of Cambridge Stakes at Royal Ascot last month on her return from a break; a line through the third, Wilamina, suggests she has work to do to beat Shenanigans, but she can be expected to improve a little for the Royal Ascot run, which was her first for 11 weeks, and her previous Group One form in Meydan makes good reading in the context of this race.

Saeed bin Suroor has a healthy 8-27 (30%) strike rate overall at Pontefract during the last five seasons and, perhaps tellingly, has a 2-3 (67%) strike rate with his older horses at the West Yorkshire course in the same period. Shenanigans, who was solid placed form at Listed and Pattern level this season, looks sure to be a tough nut to crack once again, but Promising Run has plenty going for her and can resume winning ways. Join here for the best betting odds, for horse racing, football and more sports.

Selection: Pontefract 3.00 Promising Run to win 9/4

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